Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2018 ( Vol. 3 Mar 2018 )
Published on Thursday, 29 March 2018 00:00
Weather Forecast Models suggested the tropical Pacific Ocean will remain cooler than average but gradually warming to neutral in the 2nd quarter of 2018. The Models indicated around 60% chance of La Niña conditions to last up to the February-April 2018 season
Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2018 ( Vol. 2 Feb 2018 )
Published on Friday, 09 March 2018 00:00
According to the official long-term prediction of the Meteorological Department’s Climate Centre, the ENSO condition will be a mild La Nina during the first three months of this year but the condition is predicted to return to a neutral stage by the end of March.
Thailand Crop Output in 2017 and Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2018 ( Vol. 1 Jan 2018 )
Published on Wednesday, 24 January 2018 00:00
Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. The majority of models predict La Niña is likely (~85-95%) through Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral expected during the spring.
Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2017 ( Vol. 12 Dec 2017 )
Published on Friday, 05 January 2018 00:00
The tropical Pacific Ocean is in La Niña-like conditions with cooler than average sea surface temperature. Atmospheric indicators of El Niño/La Niña are showing patterns suggestive of La Niña conditions. Models suggest the tropical Pacific Ocean will remain cooler than average with more than 60% chance of La Niña conditions continuing up to the first quarter of 2018.
Outlook of Thailand Crop Output and Situation in 2017 ( Vol. 10 Oct 2017 )
Published on Friday, 10 November 2017 00:00
For the tropical Pacific, models indicate that the sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies will continue to be negative for the remaining part of 2017. For this period, expert consensus favors weak La Nina conditions to continue. On-going La Nina conditions are expected to be short-lived and to return to neutral conditions by first quarter of 2018.
OUTLOOK OF THAILAND CROP OUTPUT IN 2017 ( Vol. 7 July 2017 )
Published on Wednesday, 02 August 2017 00:00
During June, El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – neutral continued, although equatorial sea surface temperatures remained above average in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean. However, more than half of the models favor ENSO – neutral through the remainder of 2017.
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